As of January 30, 2026, the way we consume news on X (formerly Twitter) has undergone a fundamental shift. No longer just a scroll of opinions and viral clips, the platform has transformed into what analysts are calling an "Information Finance" (InfoFi) engine. The cornerstone of this transformation is the seamless integration of live prediction [...]
As the prediction market industry enters its most ambitious year to date, a single contract on Manifold Markets has emerged as the definitive "North Star" for traders, regulators, and venture capitalists alike. The contract—"Which Prediction Market will have the highest total USD-equivalent trading volume in 2026?"—is currently trading with Polymarket as the 47% favorite, followed [...]
As we enter the first quarter of 2026, a fundamental shift is occurring in the architecture of global finance. For decades, institutional trading desks relied on the "terminal" model—terminal data from legacy providers, consensus surveys, and government reports—to price risk. Today, that hierarchy has been inverted. Algorithmic trading bots are no longer just participants in [...]
On January 20, 2026, the landscape of American finance shifted when Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) announced it had acquired a 90% majority stake in MIAXdx, a CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange. This move signals more than just a corporate expansion; it marks the moment prediction markets—once a niche interest for crypto enthusiasts and political junkies—officially became a [...]
As of late January 2026, the prediction market landscape has officially transitioned from a niche fascination into a multi-billion dollar pillar of global finance. The industry, now frequently referred to as "Information Finance" or "InfoFi," hit a staggering record of $5.23 billion in combined weekly trading volume earlier this month. At the heart of this [...]
In a definitive signal that the "cash sorting" crisis of years past has been relegated to the history books, The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE: SCHW) reported record-breaking fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on January 21, 2026. The brokerage behemoth posted a record $6.34 billion in quarterly revenue, a 19%
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As of late January 2026, the financial landscape has undergone a tectonic shift that few saw coming just two years ago. The integration of prediction markets into the everyday brokerage accounts of millions has transformed "event contracts" from a niche obsession into a multi-billion dollar pillar of mainstream finance. Today, the ability to trade on [...]
As of January 27, 2026, the prediction market industry is no longer a fringe hobby for statistics nerds or a seasonal interest for election cycles; it has evolved into a multi-billion dollar pillar of the global financial system known as "InfoFi" (Information Finance). On Manifold Markets, the industry's self-appointed "meta-layer," traders are currently obsessed with [...]
As the clock ticks toward a midnight deadline on January 31, 2026, the traditional halls of power in Washington D.C. are being outpaced by a different kind of authority: the collective intelligence of prediction markets. For weeks, political pundits maintained a cautious optimism that a funding deal would be reached, but the "smart money" has [...]
Interactive Brokers’ fourth quarter was characterized by steady performance across its core brokerage and trading services, with results that met market expectations and left the stock largely unchanged. Management attributed the quarter’s growth to a combination of strong account additions, increased client equity balances, and higher trading activity across equities, options, and futures. CEO Milan Galik highlighted that the company added over one million net new accounts during 2025, representing record growth, and emphasized the expansion of client assets above $780 billion. The firm’s focus on offering broad market access, competitive pricing, and advanced trading tools drove higher client engagement and trading volume, especially as investors became more active in a volatile interest rate environment.
As prediction markets move from the fringes of the internet to the center of the American financial landscape, a new battle is brewing over the integrity of the information they produce. On January 9, 2026, Representative Ritchie Torres (D-NY) introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 (H.R. 7004), a landmark bill [...]
As of January 26, 2026, the global financial landscape is undergoing a profound transformation, and few companies sit more squarely at the intersection of this evolution than Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: IBKR). Once the best-kept secret of professional floor traders and hedge fund managers, Interactive Brokers has emerged as a dominant force in the [...]
The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE: SCHW) has ushered in the 2026 fiscal year by shattering internal records, reporting a massive $11.9 trillion in total client assets and a record-breaking fourth-quarter revenue of $6.34 billion. The results, released on January 21, 2026, underscore a significant milestone for the brokerage
As we move into early 2026, the global information landscape has undergone a radical transformation. No longer are political analysts and corporate strategists solely reliant on slow-moving surveys or expert panels to gauge the future. Instead, they are turning to the real-time, high-stakes data of prediction markets. These platforms, once viewed as niche betting hubs, [...]
In the early hours of January 3, 2026, the world woke to the shocking news that Nicolás Maduro had been captured by U.S. Special Operations forces in a daring raid dubbed "Operation Absolute Resolve." But while mainstream news outlets like The New York Times (NYSE: NYT) and News Corp (NASDAQ: NWSA) were scrambling to confirm [...]
As the first month of 2026 draws to a close, the prediction market industry is no longer a niche corner of the internet; it has evolved into a foundational pillar of global finance. On Manifold Markets, a high-stakes meta-contract titled "Top 1 Prediction Market by Volume in 2026" has become the definitive barometer for the [...]
As the 2026 midterm election cycle enters its first high-stakes primary season this January, the prediction market landscape looks radically different than it did during the 2024 presidential frenzy. While the crypto-fueled giants like Polymarket continue to draw billions in volume from international speculators, a quieter, more academic battle is being waged on PredictIt. Despite [...]
